Pretty little predictions
Mar. 12th, 2012 02:52 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
dolorosa_12Pretty Little Liars is the kind of show I just eat up. You know the type: teenage girl disappears from a small, close-knit community, and all are somewhat culpable or involved. Over the course of the series, secrets are revealed, and we discover the extent to which the on-the-surface idyllic community is messed up. Veronica Mars, Twin Peaks, Night and Day, that sort of thing.
Anyway, tomorrow is the Season 2 finale, so I thought I might as well set out my predictions in advance. It's not the end of the series, so I imagine most questions will remain unanswered, but I want my thoughts recorded so I can go back to them when the series does end.
Be prepared for spoilers for Pretty Little Liars, as well as the three other shows mentioned in the first paragraph.
I've watched this kind of show enough to know that the motive for the teenage girl's disappearance and murder is always, always sex. And so in Veronica Mars, Lilly Kane was having an affair with her boyfriend's father, who eventually murders her. In Night and Day, Jane Harper has been having an affair with her best friend's father, only to discover that he was in actuality her own father, causing her to flee in horror. In Twin Peaks, things are slightly more complicated, but sex is still at the heart of the story.
It is with this in mind that I make my first prediction, based on things I've been thinking for a while about Pretty Little Liars. Alison DiLaurentis was without a doubt in my mind having an affair (the question of whether such a relationship can ever be consensual I leave aside) with the fathers of one of her friends. I was leaning towards Byron Montgomery for a while, and I haven't ruled him out yet, but I think that Peter Hastings is more likely. I think people jumped on the Melissa bandwagon too quickly after Spencer confronted her father and he deflected her to Melissa. We only have his word that Melissa was the one sending threatening texts, and I don't know why we should believe him. His shock at his gun going missing did seem genuine, but I'm not entirely convinced.
In any case, I think people are barking up the wrong tree in thinking that A and Alison's killer are one and the same. It makes more sense if they're different people. Which leaves the Melissa-as-A theory still standing. I'm pretty sure that A is someone in the Hastings house, since, if you think about it carefully, A's revelations are much more damaging to the other three girls (ie Aria, Emily and Hanna) than they are to Spencer. A's demands of Spencer are all about distancing her from certain people (Wren, Toby, Ian) and less about something that would have serious personal repercussions.
One other thing to keep in mind is that there was an enormous time gap in between Alison's disappearance and the actual discovery of her body, and I see no reason to believe that it took place on the same night that we see the video of Ian, Jenna, Garrett et al.
Here's what I think went down:
Alison was having an affair with one, and possibly two, of the fathers of her friends. She was also being harassed by A.
A is not a single person, but rather a group of people with hierarchical structure, in that I think that some don't actually know what they're doing and are actually being coerced into doing A's bidding. Jenna and co are not on the top of this hierarchy. On the night of Alison's disappearance, they were doing something illegal (but not murder), and the top person of 'A' has this hold over them. At a lower level are people like Noel and Lucas, who are basically foot soldiers and have no idea what's going on. Melissa may be at the top of this hierarchy (and Wren is certainly involved in some way), but she may not.
'A' found out about the affair. Alison either confronted Byron/Peter with this information and was killed on the spot, or she fled, taking on her Vivienne personality completely, but was eventually found by Byron/Peter and killed, much closer to the time when her body was discovered.
That's what I think. Feel free to share predictions or thoughts.
Anyway, tomorrow is the Season 2 finale, so I thought I might as well set out my predictions in advance. It's not the end of the series, so I imagine most questions will remain unanswered, but I want my thoughts recorded so I can go back to them when the series does end.
Be prepared for spoilers for Pretty Little Liars, as well as the three other shows mentioned in the first paragraph.
I've watched this kind of show enough to know that the motive for the teenage girl's disappearance and murder is always, always sex. And so in Veronica Mars, Lilly Kane was having an affair with her boyfriend's father, who eventually murders her. In Night and Day, Jane Harper has been having an affair with her best friend's father, only to discover that he was in actuality her own father, causing her to flee in horror. In Twin Peaks, things are slightly more complicated, but sex is still at the heart of the story.
It is with this in mind that I make my first prediction, based on things I've been thinking for a while about Pretty Little Liars. Alison DiLaurentis was without a doubt in my mind having an affair (the question of whether such a relationship can ever be consensual I leave aside) with the fathers of one of her friends. I was leaning towards Byron Montgomery for a while, and I haven't ruled him out yet, but I think that Peter Hastings is more likely. I think people jumped on the Melissa bandwagon too quickly after Spencer confronted her father and he deflected her to Melissa. We only have his word that Melissa was the one sending threatening texts, and I don't know why we should believe him. His shock at his gun going missing did seem genuine, but I'm not entirely convinced.
In any case, I think people are barking up the wrong tree in thinking that A and Alison's killer are one and the same. It makes more sense if they're different people. Which leaves the Melissa-as-A theory still standing. I'm pretty sure that A is someone in the Hastings house, since, if you think about it carefully, A's revelations are much more damaging to the other three girls (ie Aria, Emily and Hanna) than they are to Spencer. A's demands of Spencer are all about distancing her from certain people (Wren, Toby, Ian) and less about something that would have serious personal repercussions.
One other thing to keep in mind is that there was an enormous time gap in between Alison's disappearance and the actual discovery of her body, and I see no reason to believe that it took place on the same night that we see the video of Ian, Jenna, Garrett et al.
Here's what I think went down:
Alison was having an affair with one, and possibly two, of the fathers of her friends. She was also being harassed by A.
A is not a single person, but rather a group of people with hierarchical structure, in that I think that some don't actually know what they're doing and are actually being coerced into doing A's bidding. Jenna and co are not on the top of this hierarchy. On the night of Alison's disappearance, they were doing something illegal (but not murder), and the top person of 'A' has this hold over them. At a lower level are people like Noel and Lucas, who are basically foot soldiers and have no idea what's going on. Melissa may be at the top of this hierarchy (and Wren is certainly involved in some way), but she may not.
'A' found out about the affair. Alison either confronted Byron/Peter with this information and was killed on the spot, or she fled, taking on her Vivienne personality completely, but was eventually found by Byron/Peter and killed, much closer to the time when her body was discovered.
That's what I think. Feel free to share predictions or thoughts.